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Title: When McCain Drops Out
Source: Huffington Post
URL Source: http://news.yahoo.com/s/huffpost/20 ... t=Am9CznRX4faDGxJ6tAydi6ce6sgF
Published: Jun 17, 2008
Author: Steve Rosenbaum
Post Date: 2008-06-17 19:20:00 by Horse
Keywords: None
Views: 171
Comments: 7

When the Republicans choose their candidate on September 4th, there is a very real chance that they could throw the election into an unexpected chaos as they pull a genuine September Surprise.

I think there is every reason to believe John McCain won't be the nominee. Ok, let me say that again. McCain will not be the Republican candidate in November.

Here's how it could happen:

At some point in mid August, John McCain will announce that he has decided that he can not accept his party's nomination for president. The reason will be health-related, and that may turn out to be the truth. Anyone who's seen him on stage these days knows he looks like he's about to keel over. And anyone who's been on a presidential campaign knows the physical demands are grueling and can be a challenge for a young man.

But excuses or facts hardly matters. He won't be accepting his party's nomination.

The reasons are simple. He can't win. Now that Obama is the presumptive Democratic nominee -- the polls all show that McCain's pro-war stance and Bush endorsement make him a lost cause in November. That combined with soft stand on litmus test conservative issues make him an unpopular candidate among the base. I know some Democrats that think the Republicans are planning to let McCain lose and 'sit this one out' so that they can hang the democrats with a bad economy and a war that is a morass. But that just isn't how they play. They play to win every hand -- think about 2000 with a popular Democratic president and good economy and a solid VP running for president. Why did they put up Bush? And why did they fight so hard? Because, you don't ever throw a game. And they're not going to throw this one.

McCain won't be the nominee.

By August, they'll have done something to try and pick away at Obama's popularity. They'll emphasis race, or whatever they can to get him to appear less than perfect. Then, they'll bring out of the woodwork a surprise candidate who can shift the story fast. With just two months before the election -- the new candidate will have little time to be 'vetted' but will be shiny and new, and will get a lot of media attention as Obama's newness will have become -- by then -- tarnished or at least no longer the surprise that it has been as he unseated Hillary.

So, who will be the Republican candidate that faces Obama in the fall?

I've spoken to a number of friends who -- when presented with this set of facts respond: "but they don't have anybody else." That's simply not the case.

Joe Trippi, campaign consultant and most notably Howard Dean's campaign manager, said of McCain dropping out: "While crazy, this may be the best shot they have."

There are a whole list of Republicans who in many ways are more likely to energize the Republican base. One thing is certain -- there are candidates that will play to the core issues in ways that McCain simply can't.

Here's a list of names. Some you know, some you don't. But each of them knows their name is in play. Among them --

Condoleezza Rice (Secretary of State)

Colin Powell (fmr Sec. of State)

Marilyn Musgrave (Colorado Congresswoman)

Mitt Romney (fmr Massachusetts Governor)

Mike Huckabee (fmr Governor of Arkansas)

Charlie Crist (Florida Governor)

Tim Pawlenty (Minnesota Governor)

Bobby Jindal (Louisiana Governor)

Mark Sanford: (Governor of South Carolina)

John Thune (Senator from South Dakota)

Dick Lugar (Senator from Indiana)

Chuck Hagel (Senator from Nebraska)

MIchael Bloomberg (NYC Mayor)


Poster Comment:

We can only hope the author is right even though I have serious objections to several of the names on his list.

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#1. To: Horse (#0)

oy vey. i wonder what Rosenbaum is smoking. there's nothing shiny and new about anyone on his list and haven't romney and huckabee already been there?

christine  posted on  2008-06-17   19:57:07 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: Horse (#0)

Obama will drop out before McCain does. Heck, McCain would have to die to drop out.

God is always good!

RickyJ  posted on  2008-06-17   20:08:51 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: Horse (#0)

even though I have serious objections to several of the names on his list.

Birds of a feather .... they're all puppets.

Anyone that promotes the current State of Israel is either a fascist zionazi, a rapture nutter or simply too stupid to be considered.

noone222  posted on  2008-06-18   1:08:05 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#4. To: christine (#1)

oy vey. i wonder what Rosenbaum is smoking. there's nothing shiny and new about anyone on his list and haven't romney and huckabee already been there?

An amusing display of the pathetic state of the R party.

Success is relative. It is what we can make of the mess we have made of things. T. S. Eliot

iconoclast  posted on  2008-06-18   1:28:33 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#5. To: Horse (#0)

I say it's time to nominate a decent corporate officer with a sound military background. They're out there, we don't need to select from the limited pool of inbred D.C. leeches who are all the same.

“The best and first guarantor of our neutrality and our independent existence is the defensive will of the people…and the proverbial marksmanship of the Swiss shooter. Each soldier a good marksman! Each shot a hit!” Schweizerische Schutzenseitunt (Swiss Shooting Federation) April, 1941

X-15  posted on  2008-06-18   1:50:47 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#6. To: X-15 (#5)

I say it's time to nominate a decent corporate officer with a sound military background. They're out there, we don't need to select from the limited pool of inbred D.C. leeches who are all the same.

Oh JOY! Another corporate feudal overlord to run the country like a "business". Say, haven't we been doing that since Reagan? Here's a novel idea, how about we run the nation like a COUNTRY. You know, with citizens and stuff like that...

Gold and silver are REAL money, paper is but a promise.

Elliott Jackalope  posted on  2008-06-18   4:22:50 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#7. To: Elliott Jackalope (#6)

A "decent" corporate officer. Not all executives are corrupt, you just hear about the bad ones in the daily news. POTUS is an executive position and requires a man with the ability to govern the population using sound management skills: carrying out an organization's (U.S.A.) goals (national defense, life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness) by leading and guiding (The CONSTITUTION) citizens in their daily lives. The POTUS leads citizens using proven management techniques bounded by the Constitution and the Bible. The alternative is a D.C. insider who is not familiar with the Constitution or the Bible.

“The best and first guarantor of our neutrality and our independent existence is the defensive will of the people…and the proverbial marksmanship of the Swiss shooter. Each soldier a good marksman! Each shot a hit!” Schweizerische Schutzenseitunt (Swiss Shooting Federation) April, 1941

X-15  posted on  2008-06-18   12:42:13 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


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