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(s)Elections
See other (s)Elections Articles

Title: Obama Leads McCain in Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Poll Shows
Source: [None]
URL Source: http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news? ... shingtonstory&sid=a8AmbV6i4kKY
Published: Jun 18, 2008
Author: Mark Drajem
Post Date: 2008-06-18 09:48:12 by christine
Keywords: None
Views: 42
Comments: 1

June 18 (Bloomberg) -- Democrat Barack Obama is leading Republican John McCain in Florida, Pennsylvania and Ohio, the first time he's had an advantage in all three electoral battleground states, a Quinnipiac University poll found.

Obama got a boost in support after securing the Democratic nomination in the final round of primaries June 3 and following the departure of Senator Hillary Clinton from the race, said Peter A. Brown, assistant director for the Hamden, Connecticut, university's polling institute.

``Obama is certainly not out of the woods, but these results are a good indication that he enters the summer slightly ahead in the race to be the next president,'' Brown said in a statement.

Florida, Pennsylvania and Ohio together have 68 of the 270 Electoral College votes needed to win the presidency and have swung between both parties in recent presidential elections. No candidate has won the presidency since 1960 without taking at least two of the three.

Obama is ahead of McCain by a statistically significant margin in each state. He leads 47 percent to 43 percent in Florida; 48 to 42 percent in Ohio and 52 to 40 percent in Pennsylvania, the poll found.

Both candidates are making appeals to independent voters in their campaigns. Obama, an Illinois senator, is ahead of McCain among self-identified independents in Florida and Pennsylvania and runs 2 percentage points behind the Arizona senator among independents in Ohio.

Bush, Iraq War

McCain is suffering because the approval ratings for fellow Republican President George W. Bush, are 27 percent or less in each of the states, and because by a two-to-one margin voters say the Iraq War was a mistake, according to the poll.

Still, voters are split over whether the U.S. should begin an immediate withdrawal of troops, as Obama says, or stay until Iraq is stabilized, as McCain argues.

``The only good news for McCain in these numbers is that despite voters' views on the war, he is holding his own with them about where to go from here,'' Brown said.

The economy was listed as the top issue in the election by majorities in all three states, followed by the war.

The poll was conducted between June 9-16. Quinnipiac surveyed 1,453 likely voters in Florida, 1,396 in Ohio and 1,511 in Pennsylvania. The margin of error was plus or minus 2.6 percentage points in Florida and Ohio and 2.5 percentage points in Pennsylvania.


Poster Comment:

I wonder how much VP selections will alter poll #s.

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#1. To: christine (#0)

These are early poll results taken just after Obama clinched the nomination. They are not accurate. A poll released 18 minutes ago has Obama leading by just 3 points nationwide.

Quote: Today’s results are the closest the race has been in polling conducted since Obama clinched the Democratic Presidential Nomination www.rasmussenreports.com/.../election_20082/2008_pres idential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

Please be advised that President Dukakis lead by 13 points after he won the nomination and was predicted to easily defeat Bush in 1988. And in 1980 the Gallup poll had Carter ahead of Reagan by 3 points as late as the weekend before the election. And that election was not even close.

The Truth of 911 Shall Set You Free From The Lie

Horse  posted on  2008-06-18   11:50:10 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


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