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Title: Sun goes longer than normal without producing sunspots
Source: MSU
URL Source: http://www.montana.edu/cpa/news/nwview.php?article=5982&log
Published: Jun 26, 2008
Author: Evelyn Boswell
Post Date: 2008-06-26 22:34:37 by Horse
Keywords: None
Views: 126
Comments: 6

BOZEMAN -- The sun has been laying low for the past couple of years, producing no sunspots and giving a break to satellites.

That's good news for people who scramble when space weather interferes with their technology, but it became a point of discussion for the scientists who attended an international solar conference at Montana State University. Approximately 100 scientists from Europe, Asia, Latin America, Africa and North America gathered June 1-6 to talk about "Solar Variability, Earth's Climate and the Space Environment."

The scientists said periods of inactivity are normal for the sun, but this period has gone on longer than usual.

"It continues to be dead," said Saku Tsuneta with the National Astronomical Observatory of Japan, program manager for the Hinode solar mission. "That's a small concern, a very small concern."

The Hinode satellite is a Japanese mission with the United States and United Kingdom as partners. The satellite carries three telescopes that together show how changes on the sun's surface spread through the solar atmosphere. MSU researchers are among those operating the X-ray telescope. The satellite orbits 431 miles above ground, crossing both poles and making one lap every 95 minutes, giving Hinode an uninterrupted view of the sun for several months out of the year.

Dana Longcope, a solar physicist at MSU, said the sun usually operates on an 11-year cycle with maximum activity occurring in the middle of the cycle. Minimum activity generally occurs as the cycles change. Solar activity refers to phenomena like sunspots, solar flares and solar eruptions. Together, they create the weather than can disrupt satellites in space and technology on earth.

The last cycle reached its peak in 2001 and is believed to be just ending now, Longcope said. The next cycle is just beginning and is expected to reach its peak sometime around 2012. Today's sun, however, is as inactive as it was two years ago, and scientists aren't sure why.

"It's a dead face," Tsuneta said of the sun's appearance.

Tsuneta said solar physicists aren't like weather forecasters; They can't predict the future. They do have the ability to observe, however, and they have observed a longer-than-normal period of solar inactivity. In the past, they observed that the sun once went 50 years without producing sunspots. That period coincided with a little ice age on Earth that lasted from 1650 to 1700.

Tsuneta said he doesn't know how long the sun will continue to be inactive, but scientists associated with the Hinode mission are ready for it to resume maximum activity. They have added extra ground stations to pick up signals from Hinode in case solar activity interferes with instruments at other stations around the world. The new stations, ready to start operating this summer, are located in India, Norway, Alaska and the South Pole.

Establishing those stations, as well as the Hinode mission, required international cooperation, Tsuneta said. No one country had the resources to carry out those projects by itself.

Four countries, three space agencies and 11 organizations worked together on Hinode which was launched in September 2006, Tsuneta said. Among the collaborators was Loren Acton, a research professor of physics at MSU. Tsuneta and Acton worked together closely from 1986-2002 and were reunited at the MSU conference.

"His leadership was immense, superb," Tsuneta said about Acton.

Acton, 72, said he is still enthused by solar physics and the new questions being raised. In fact, he wished he could knock 22 years off his age and extend his career even longer.

"It's too much fun," he said. "There's so much exciting stuff come up, I would like to be part of it."

A related article on the Hinode mission is located at www.montana.edu/cpa/news/nwview.php?article=4902

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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 5.

#5. To: Horse (#0)

The sun has been laying low for the past couple of years, producing no sunspots and giving a break to satellites.

The following tables list the daily sunspot numbers from 2005-2008. The value at the bottom of each column indicates the average number of sunspots per day for the month.

It's quite obvious that the author is either lying or doesn't know what she's talking about.

DAILY SUNSPOT NUMBERS 2005 =============================================================================== Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Yr Day ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 32 19 0 16 42 53 78 63 17 9 18 49 2005 01 32 17 8 20 42 40 95 69 14 8 19 54 2005 02 24 11 9 28 47 33 101 48 9 10 11 60 2005 03 14 15 8 33 43 49 107 40 9 14 12 55 2005 04 11 16 9 35 40 62 103 40 8 17 12 55 2005 05 12 38 10 29 45 64 84 33 8 15 14 45 2005 06 11 38 18 28 37 73 75 39 14 14 25 23 2005 07 10 35 33 27 46 68 64 37 20 12 8 25 2005 08 14 39 38 27 63 67 57 34 28 10 8 23 2005 09 19 48 41 27 77 70 42 16 35 16 0 39 2005 10 27 52 43 13 82 55 41 22 34 14 0 38 2005 11 40 56 42 21 80 52 38 27 37 14 10 33 2005 12 41 48 42 29 62 31 41 22 50 0 12 38 2005 13 54 48 40 35 51 33 30 26 41 8 19 38 2005 14 59 52 37 36 39 40 21 27 39 8 20 36 2005 15 65 45 28 28 43 43 11 24 33 8 23 31 2005 16 64 43 25 26 33 48 8 20 35 8 24 28 2005 17 61 37 25 26 26 32 0 19 33 8 26 28 2005 18 45 31 26 26 23 29 9 44 26 16 26 43 2005 19 42 27 25 24 15 31 0 48 14 9 33 39 2005 20 45 20 30 16 13 34 0 39 13 8 27 42 2005 21 31 20 28 16 24 27 8 38 14 7 27 41 2005 22 26 16 32 14 25 11 16 36 19 8 24 36 2005 23 28 11 41 9 25 11 11 42 17 0 27 53 2005 24 32 8 34 10 30 12 12 41 16 0 20 43 2005 25 23 12 26 11 44 0 15 37 22 0 15 52 2005 26 20 8 22 17 44 8 11 42 16 0 16 51 2005 27 20 7 10 30 37 9 18 46 15 0 17 44 2005 28 19 9 35 43 28 34 43 14 8 16 45 2005 29 22 7 34 46 67 43 37 7 9 30 46 2005 30 26 15 58 69 29 12 41 2005 31 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 31.3 29.2 24.5 24.2 42.7 39.3 40.1 36.4 21.9 8.7 18.0 41.1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Values are final.

                       DAILY SUNSPOT NUMBERS 2006
===============================================================================
 Jan   Feb   Mar   Apr   May   Jun   Jul   Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov   Dec   Yr Day
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  25     0     0    35    33     8    21     7    21    25    32    34  2006 01
  24     0     0    39    35     0    17     7    10    23    42    32  2006 02
  19     0     0    44    34     0    19     9     0    16    44    28  2006 03
  17     0     9    49    36    11    20     0     0    16    39    24  2006 04
  15     0    16    50    32    15    19     0    16    17    32    28  2006 05
  15     0    14    54    27    18    20     0    24    16    24    33  2006 06
   8     7     0    46    32    33    20     0    29    16    19    31  2006 07
   7     7     0    41    31    33    19     7    29    15    26    17  2006 08
   8    14     0    33    28    27    17    16    30    15    18    13  2006 09
   8    10     0    36    19    28     8    17    30    10     9    14  2006 10
   8     8     0    38    16    21     8    16    27     0    11    17  2006 11
   8     0     9    41     7    17     7    15    19     0    13    17  2006 12
   0     9    10    40     7    16     0    16    18     0    21    16  2006 13
   8    11    14    36     0     8     8    19     9     0    28    14  2006 14
  20    15    14    23     0     8     9    19     9     0    27    13  2006 15
  24    15    13    15     0    12    11    19     8     0    31    12  2006 16
  22     7    19     8     0    13    12    17    15     0    28     9  2006 17
  26     7    16     7     8    10    12    19     7     0    28     0  2006 18
  24    12    16    14     8    12    13    15     8    10    27     0  2006 19
  16     0    19    10    19    12     8    10     8    10    21     0  2006 20
  19     0    19     9    20    10     0    16     8    11     0     0  2006 21
  31     0    19    11    28     0     8     9    11    15     0     0  2006 22
  37     0    18     8    30     0    10    12     8    27     7     0  2006 23
  30     0    21    11    26     0    11    12     9    21     0     8  2006 24
  19     0    11    28    25     8    10    15     8    10     8    10  2006 25
  14     0     0    35    28    10    10    14    10     0     9    13  2006 26
   9     7     0    39    32    13    10    21     7     8    20    12  2006 27
   7     7     9    37    37    24     9    22     8    10    23     0  2006 28
   7          19    32    35    26     9    17    22     0    24     0  2006 29
   0          20    37    32    25    17    12    25     9    35    10  2006 30
   0          24          27          15    22          23          17  2006 31
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 15.3   4.9  10.6  30.2  22.3  13.9  12.2  12.9  14.4  10.4  21.5  13.6
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Values are preliminary after Sep 06.

                         DAILY SUNSPOT NUMBERS 2007
===============================================================================
 Jan   Feb   Mar   Apr   May   Jun   Jul   Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov   Dec   Yr Day
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  22    22     7    10    20    19    19     0    14     0     0    10  2007 01
  24    24     7     0    20    25    11     0     8     0     0     9  2007 02
  25    21     7     0    12    31     9     7     8     0     0     7  2007 03
  25    17     8     0    11    34     9     7     8     0     0     9  2007 04
  28    16    17     0    10    35     9     7     8     0     0     8  2007 05
  27    15    14     0     9    33     9     8     0    11     8    16  2007 06
  24    15     0     0     8    37     8     8     0     9     0    15  2007 07
  30     8     0     0     9    34    10     9     0     7     0    25  2007 08
  27     7     0     0    11    12    14     9     0     0     0    26  2007 09
  24     7     0     0    12     9    17     9     0     0     0    24  2007 10
  23     0     9     0    14     9    17     8     0     0     0    24  2007 11
  16     0     8     0    13     8    15     8     0     0     0    28  2007 12
  17     0     0     0    11     8    26     8     0     0     0    30  2007 13
  11     0     0     0    18     0    27     0     0     0     0    24  2007 14
  11     0     0     0    18     0    25     0     0     0     0    22  2007 15
  11     0     0     0    19     0    20     0     0     0    10    18  2007 16
   9     8     0     7    24     0    11     0     0     0     9    11  2007 17
  10     8     0     0    25     0     9     0     0     0     0     7  2007 18
  14    20     0     0    22     0     8     0     0     0     0     0  2007 19
  11    17     0     0    14     0     0     0     0     0     0     0  2007 20
  11    10     0     0    11     0     0     9     0     0     0     0  2007 21
  12    16     0     0     9     0     0     8     0     0     0     0  2007 22
  10    15     8     0    14     0     0     8     0     0     0     0  2007 23
  11     8     8     0     9     0     0     8     0     0    10     0  2007 24
   8     8     0     8     0     7     0     8     0     0     8     0  2007 25
   7    15     9    10     0     8     0     8     0     0     7     0  2007 26
   7    15     8    11     0     8     0     8     0     0     0     0  2007 27
   8     8     8    14     0     9     9     8     9     0     0     0  2007 28
  18           8    20     7    18     9     8     9     0     0     0  2007 29
  20           7    21     7    18     9     8     9     0     0     0  2007 30
  20           7           7           0    17           0           0  2007 31
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 16.8  10.7   4.5   3.4  11.7   12.1   9.7   6.0   2.4   0.9   1.7  10.1
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Values are final.

DAILY SUNSPOT NUMBERS 2008 =============================================================================== Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Yr Day ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 7 11 0 16 0 2008 01 7 9 0 9 0 2008 02 7 9 7 9 0 2008 03 12 8 0 7 7 2008 04 10 0 0 0 8 2008 05 11 0 8 0 0 2008 06 11 0 0 0 0 2008 07 9 0 0 0 0 2008 08 0 0 0 0 0 2008 09 8 0 9 0 0 2008 10 8 0 0 0 0 2008 11 0 0 0 0 0 2008 12 0 0 0 7 8 2008 13 0 0 0 7 0 2008 14 0 0 7 0 9 2008 15 0 0 7 0 14 2008 16 0 0 7 0 12 2008 17 0 0 0 0 15 2008 18 0 0 0 8 11 2008 19 0 0 0 0 7 2008 20 0 0 0 0 0 2008 21 0 0 0 8 0 2008 22 0 0 0 8 0 2008 23 0 0 19 7 0 2008 24 0 8 32 0 0 2008 25 0 8 36 0 0 2008 26 0 8 35 0 0 2008 27 0 0 34 0 0 2008 28 0 0 30 0 0 2008 29 8 31 0 0 2008 30 8 25 0 2008 31 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 3.4 2.1 9.3 2.9 2.9 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Values are preliminary after Dec 07.

FormerLurker  posted on  2008-06-27   13:21:09 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


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