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(s)Elections
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Title: McCain takes 5-point lead over Obama-Reuters poll
Source: Reuters
URL Source: http://www.reuters.com/article/poli ... /idUKN1948672420080820?sp=true
Published: Aug 20, 2008
Author: John Whitesides
Post Date: 2008-08-20 07:56:19 by Disgusted
Keywords: None
Views: 384
Comments: 32

By John Whitesides, Political Correspondent

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - In a sharp turnaround, Republican John McCain has opened a 5-point lead on Democrat Barack Obama in the U.S. presidential race and is seen as a stronger manager of the economy, according to a Reuters/Zogby poll released on Wednesday.

McCain leads Obama among likely U.S. voters by 46 percent to 41 percent, wiping out Obama's solid 7-point advantage in July and taking his first lead in the monthly Reuters/Zogby poll.

The reversal follows a month of attacks by McCain, who has questioned Obama's experience, criticized his opposition to most new offshore oil drilling and mocked his overseas trip.

The poll was taken Thursday through Saturday as Obama wrapped up a weeklong vacation in Hawaii that ceded the political spotlight to McCain, who seized on Russia's invasion of Georgia to emphasize his foreign policy views.

"There is no doubt the campaign to discredit Obama is paying off for McCain right now," pollster John Zogby said. "This is a significant ebb for Obama."

McCain now has a 9-point edge, 49 percent to 40 percent, over Obama on the critical question of who would be the best manager of the economy -- an issue nearly half of voters said was their top concern in the November 4 presidential election.

That margin reversed Obama's 4-point edge last month on the economy over McCain, an Arizona senator and former Vietnam prisoner of war who has admitted a lack of economic expertise and shows far greater interest in foreign and military policy.

McCain has been on the offensive against Obama during the last month over energy concerns, with polls showing strong majorities supporting his call for an expansion of offshore oil drilling as gasoline prices hover near $4 a gallon.

Obama had opposed new offshore drilling, but said recently he would support a limited expansion as part of a comprehensive energy program.

That was one of several recent policy shifts for Obama, as he positions himself for the general election battle. But Zogby said the changes could be taking a toll on Obama's support, particularly among Democrats and self-described liberals.

"That hairline difference between nuance and what appears to be flip-flopping is hurting him with liberal voters," Zogby said.

Obama's support among Democrats fell 9 percentage points this month to 74 percent, while McCain has the backing of 81 percent of Republicans. Support for Obama, an Illinois senator, fell 12 percentage points among liberals, with 10 percent of liberals still undecided compared to 9 percent of conservatives.

OBAMA NEEDS TO WORK ON BASE

"Conservatives were supposed to be the bigger problem for McCain," Zogby said. "Obama still has work to do on his base. At this point McCain seems to be doing a better job with his."

The dip in support for Obama, who would be the first black U.S. president, cut across demographic and ideological lines. He slipped among Catholics, born-again Christians, women, independents and younger voters. He retained the support of more than 90 percent of black voters.

"There were no wild swings, there isn't one group that is radically different than last month or even two months ago. It was just a steady decline for Obama across the board," Zogby said.

Obama's support among voters between the ages of 18 and 29, which had been one of his strengths, slipped 12 percentage points to 52 percent. McCain, who will turn 72 next week, was winning 40 percent of younger voters.

"Those are not the numbers Obama needs to win," Zogby said about Americans under 30. The 47-year-old is counting on a strong turnout among young voters, a key bloc of support during his primary battle with New York Sen. Hillary Clinton.

It made little difference when independent candidate Ralph Nader and Libertarian Party candidate Bob Barr, who are both trying to add their names to state ballots.

McCain still held a 5-point edge over Obama, 44 percent to 39 percent, when all four names were included. Barr earned 3 percent and Nader 2 percent.

Most national polls have given Obama a narrow lead over McCain throughout the summer. In the Reuters/Zogby poll, Obama had a 5-point lead in June, shortly after he clinched the Democratic nomination, and an 8-point lead on McCain in May.

The telephone poll of 1,089 likely voters had a margin of error of 3 percentage points.

The poll was taken as both candidates head into their nominating conventions and the announcements of their choices of vice presidential picks. The Democratic convention begins on Monday in Denver, with the Republican convention opening the next Monday, September 1, in St. Paul, Minnesota.

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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 3.

#1. To: Disgusted (#0)

All the 4um posters worrying about Obama need to "chill," it looks like.

There was never a chance the U.S. voters would elect a "darkhorse" candidate and I think most of you who were exaggerating the "threat" knew that.

The GOPers now have another dilemma, though — how to blame the depression of the next several to many years on the Dims while their own McHoover presides over it.

Maybe all-out nuclear war with Russia IS McStrangelove's only way out here.

Sam Houston  posted on  2008-08-20   8:28:33 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: Sam Houston (#1)

So should we vote for Obama? What if we do and he wins. Then it is our fault. Or Vice versa. I'll just vote my conscience. Chuck Baldwin. Possibly Barr.

Old Friend  posted on  2008-08-20   8:49:45 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: Old Friend (#2)

There is NO political solution to what awaits this country.

We can either go down in a nuclear fireball or slowly waste away. I would imagine, if he can get some Slim Pickens-style commander to carry out the order (and the Air Force is FULL OF "Rapture-Ready" bombers), there WILL be an all-out strategic nuclear exchange in the not-too-distant future.

Darth and Chimpy have already tried mightily to unleash tactical nukes on Iran, but so far the commanders have resisted.

Sam Houston  posted on  2008-08-20   8:54:28 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


Replies to Comment # 3.

#5. To: Sam Houston (#3)

"Doomsday Clock" Moves Two Minutes Closer To Midnight

On January 17, 2007, the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists moved the minute hand of the Doomsday Clock two minutes closer to midnight. It is now 5 minutes to midnight. Reflecting global failures to solve the problems posed by nuclear weapons and the climate crisis, the decision by the Bulletin's Board of Directors was made in consultation with the Bulletin's Board of Sponsors, which includes 18 Nobel Laureates.

In a statement supporting the decision to move the hand of the Doomsday Clock, the Bulletin Board focused on two major sources of catastrophe: the perils of 27,000 nuclear weapons, 2,000 of them ready to launch within minutes; and the destruction of human habitats from climate change.

The Bulletin statement explains: "We stand at the brink of a second nuclear age. Not since the first atomic bombs were dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki has the world faced such perilous choices. North Korea's recent test of a nuclear weapon, Iran's nuclear ambitions, a renewed emphasis on the military utility of nuclear weapons, the failure to adequately secure nuclear materials, and the continued presence of some 26,000 nuclear weapons in the United States and Russia are symptomatic of a failure to solve the problems posed by the most destructive technology on Earth."

Evidently the smarty pants-types at the BAS have been too busy being foreclosed on to pay much attention to all that nookuulur stuff.

You'd think that Georgia attacking Russia and the USI's hysterical wheezing about it would've gotten their attention.

Esso  posted on  2008-08-20 09:16:55 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


End Trace Mode for Comment # 3.

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