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Title: The world has never seen such freezing heat
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URL Source: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/opinion/ ... /opinion/2008/11/16/do1610.xml
Published: Nov 16, 2008
Author: Christopher Booker
Post Date: 2008-11-16 08:29:29 by Disgusted
Keywords: None
Views: 614
Comments: 28
A surreal scientific blunder last week raised a huge question mark about the temperature records that underpin the worldwide alarm over global warming. On Monday, Nasa's Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS), which is run by Al Gore's chief scientific ally, Dr James Hansen, and is one of four bodies responsible for monitoring global temperatures, announced that last month was the hottest October on record. This was startling. Across the world there were reports of unseasonal snow and plummeting temperatures last month, from the American Great Plains to China, and from the Alps to New Zealand. China's official news agency reported that Tibet had suffered its "worst snowstorm ever". In the US, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration registered 63 local snowfall records and 115 lowest-ever temperatures for the month, and ranked it as only the 70th-warmest October in 114 years. So what explained the anomaly? GISS's computerised temperature maps seemed to show readings across a large part of Russia had been up to 10 degrees higher than normal. But when expert readers of the two leading warming-sceptic blogs, Watts Up With That and Climate Audit, began detailed analysis of the GISS data they made an astonishing discovery. The reason for the freak figures was that scores of temperature records from Russia and elsewhere were not based on October readings at all. Figures from the previous month had simply been carried over and repeated two months running. EU facing revolt over climate change target enforcement EU plans new energy deals Himalayan glaciers 'could disappear completely by 2035' The error was so glaring that when it was reported on the two blogs - run by the US meteorologist Anthony Watts and Steve McIntyre, the Canadian computer analyst who won fame for his expert debunking of the notorious "hockey stick" graph - GISS began hastily revising its figures. This only made the confusion worse because, to compensate for the lowered temperatures in Russia, GISS claimed to have discovered a new "hotspot" in the Arctic - in a month when satellite images were showing Arctic sea-ice recovering so fast from its summer melt that three weeks ago it was 30 per cent more extensive than at the same time last year. A GISS spokesman lamely explained that the reason for the error in the Russian figures was that they were obtained from another body, and that GISS did not have resources to exercise proper quality control over the data it was supplied with. This is an astonishing admission: the figures published by Dr Hansen's institute are not only one of the four data sets that the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) relies on to promote its case for global warming, but they are the most widely quoted, since they consistently show higher temperatures than the others. If there is one scientist more responsible than any other for the alarm over global warming it is Dr Hansen, who set the whole scare in train back in 1988 with his testimony to a US Senate committee chaired by Al Gore. Again and again, Dr Hansen has been to the fore in making extreme claims over the dangers of climate change. (He was recently in the news here for supporting the Greenpeace activists acquitted of criminally damaging a coal-fired power station in Kent, on the grounds that the harm done to the planet by a new power station would far outweigh any damage they had done themselves.) Yet last week's latest episode is far from the first time Dr Hansen's methodology has been called in question. In 2007 he was forced by Mr Watts and Mr McIntyre to revise his published figures for US surface temperatures, to show that the hottest decade of the 20th century was not the 1990s, as he had claimed, but the 1930s. Another of his close allies is Dr Rajendra Pachauri, chairman of the IPCC, who recently startled a university audience in Australia by claiming that global temperatures have recently been rising "very much faster" than ever, in front of a graph showing them rising sharply in the past decade. In fact, as many of his audience were aware, they have not been rising in recent years and since 2007 have dropped. Dr Pachauri, a former railway engineer with no qualifications in climate science, may believe what Dr Hansen tells him. But whether, on the basis of such evidence, it is wise for the world's governments to embark on some of the most costly economic measures ever proposed, to remedy a problem which may actually not exist, is a question which should give us all pause for thought.
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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 19.
#1. To: Disgusted (#0)
We had about an inch of that "global warming" here where I live in October (southern part of the US). First measurable snow in October that anyone around here remembers, or so they say. I certainly don't remember it ever snowing that early before.
I dunno what state you're in, but I live in Idaho--in the Rocky Mountain region, and we don't have snow in our 4200 ft. elevated valley! We've not had snow yet, though the mountains around us have it on the tops and a little ways down the mountain sides. At 10:20, I'm showing the temp is 29 degrees, but I was able to go out to feed the outside cats an hour and a half ago with houseslippers on the feet an a loosely woven cardigan sweater. I always hang out there for a bit petting and talking with them so they remain friendly.
I suspect you will have it soon enough. The elevation where I live is very close to the same as yours but a lot farther south (and east). They had an article about it in the paper and said that the "old timers" still living didn't remember it ever snowing in October--but a great uncle told me a long time ago before he died that he had seen it snow here every month in the year iirc. I know for sure that I have never seen a measurable amount of snow here in October before this year.
LOL---I am living under NO illusions about it passing us by--either this year or any other, for that matter! The first year we owned the ranch in Montana, it started snowing October 31st and virtually didn't stop piling it on until the lst of February. Our friend, Mike, had a weather station and reported his markings daily to the weather service; and during that period of time, we had 120 inches of that white stuff dumped on us. It would snow, pack down, snow, pack down, snow, pack down. We kept digging a path out to our chicken yard/house to take water and food out and to collect eggs daily. When it was bout 4' high on the sides of the path, we quit doing that silly crap, and just walked on the top of the snow, over the fence around the chicken yard, and stepped down into the chicken house! That is a year I will NEVER forget. It was our first winter there. Every winter when that old joke flies around the internet about the yuppie couple who move to snow country just love it--at the start--and wind up dead and in the nut house at the end makes sure I don't forget that winter!!! We weren't yuppies , but were from SoCal........
Yes, I understand that the winters in Montana can be pretty brutal. The fact that the state is so sparsely populated probably makes up for a lot of that though--I think that if my brother got a chance to move somewhere like that where the closest neighbor was at least a mile and probably more like ten miles away he would jump on it.
There are certainly areas in Montana like that--especially the eastern portion-- lots of wide open spaces. We lived on the western side....thankfully, we didn't get those winds that the eastern part of the state gets (can thank my Grandpa for that as he told us NOT to get on the eastern side of the Continental Divide--he had owned land once upon a time in Colorado and HE knew). But it doesn't take much to get away from any city--seconds at times. :) I loved Montana and would still be there on the ranch was my husband still alive. But it just wasn't the same without the soulmate.
#20. To: rowdee (#19)
The only times I was ever in Texas it seemed a lot like that too. Not that they don't have big cities, Houston is HUGE (drove through there one time and wondered if I had entered the twilight zone because it didn't seem to have an end). But it seemed like if you came to a town it was big but as soon as you got out of it there was nothing for miles. And I am sure there are probably a lot of little towns in Texas but I wasn't out exploring the state, just trying to get through it to somewhere else.
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#12. To: James Deffenbach (#1)
#15. To: rowdee (#12)
I dunno what state you're in, but I live in Idaho--in the Rocky Mountain region, and we don't have snow in our 4200 ft. elevated valley!
#17. To: James Deffenbach (#15)
#18. To: rowdee (#17)
#19. To: James Deffenbach (#18)
Replies to Comment # 19. But it doesn't take much to get away from any city--seconds at times. :)
End Trace Mode for Comment # 19.