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Title: Who Was the Mastermind?
Source:
U.S. & WorldEarly Warning Report
URL Source: http://www.richardmaybury.com/bulletin-121901.html
Published: Dec 19, 2001
Author: Richard Maybury
Post Date: 2009-03-26 20:12:52 by Turtle
Keywords: None
Views: 202
Comments: 5
On December 14, 2001, the federal government released a videotape allegedly showing Osama bin Laden smiling and boasting about the September 11th attack. The fact that a man takes credit for a deed and basks in the glory does not mean he did it. ...all the reliable evidence I have seen indicates the attackers have no such military organization and no such mastermind. Was bin Laden somehow involved in the attack? I am sure beyond a reasonable doubt that he was. Was he the "terrorist mastermind" behind the attack? Unlikely. I have seen no evidence that there was any mastermind at all. No Chain of Command Westerners naturally have a western view of military matters. Most think in terms of an army with a chain of command running from privates, corporals and sergeants to four and five-star generals. We assume that if we get the five-star general, we will have the man who engineered the attack and knows all the people and elements involved. I have been studying this war for twenty years and all the reliable evidence I have seen indicates the attackers have no such military organization and no such mastermind. The organization is not that of an army, it is more like that of a market economy. Here is the story. The Underground Flow of Resources On every continent there are millions of people who hate and fear the US government and would like to see it wiped off the face of the earth. Each of these people has something he can contribute to the cause. All have at least a few coins. Thousands also have weapons, information, experience, skills or something else. Many hate the US government so much they are willing to die fighting it. Others, especially in the oil-rich countries protected by Washington, may be billionaires willing to contribute tens of millions of dollars. Through dozens or hundreds of collection organizations, the resources flow to the "terrorists" who do the attacks. If killing bin Laden will end the enemy's war effort, why didn't the death of financier J.P. Morgan in 1913 end the US economy? Some of these organizations are secret underground networks. Others are legitimate charities that do good work. Few of the people working for the charities have any idea that a portion of the money is siphoned off to finance the war against Washington. Each collection organization has one or more people we can call a disbursement officer who decides where the resources will go. When thinking of the disbursement officer, think of a loan officer at a bank. The guerrillas who do the attacks are not organized into a military hierarchy, they are members of secret cells. Each cell has anywhere from one to a dozen people, rarely more than two dozen, and little connection with other cells. In other words, each cell is a group of free-lance guerrillas. Members of one cell may be acquainted with members of two or three other cells, but no one knows how many cells there are or where they are, except to say they are on every continent, in many cases blended with the indigenous populations. Here is an example of how an attack is put together. How Attacks are Planned One evening, the leader of cell number 127 is in Hong Kong having a beer with two friends he has known from childhood. The friends are leaders of cells 946 and 1,289. The three friends hatch a plan to attack Washington. The leader of 946 is chosen to fly to Cairo and meet with a disbursement officer. The disbursement officer considers the plan. If it looks feasible, he deals with it the way a loan officer would. ...the original mastermind or masterminds, if there ever were any, were probably all dead of old age by 1970. He asks how much money will be needed. Then he inquires about the experience and training of the guerrillas. What is their track record of successes and failures? Do they have all the necessary skills? If the plan looks good except for minor details - perhaps the guerrillas lack a skill or a weapon that would be helpful - the disbursement officer may know someone who might be willing to help, and he may ask this person if he would like to join the operation. If the disbursement officer has been in the business a long time, he may know several people who would be interested in joining, assuming they have not been killed. This, incidentally, points to a major strength of this form of organization. When the West kills a cell leader, it severs the cell's connection with other cells and loses the ability to find them. So, killing a "terrorist" increases the survivability of the overall network. Once the plan looks doable, the disbursement officer writes the check. Summarizing what we have covered so far, we are talking about thousands of streams of money, information, weapons and other resources flowing from all over the world to hundreds of cells, none of whom know much about each other. Now lets look at bin Laden. A Highly Capable Leader All credible reports I have seen indicate that bin Laden is a highly capable mountain guerrilla commander. If he were in the US Army, he would be a captain or major in the Green Berets. But I have never seen anything to indicate bin Laden is a strategic mastermind in the league of Germany's Rommel or America's Patton in World War II. Today bin Laden is probably no longer even a good mountain guerrilla commander. He is middle-aged, and reportedly suffering from kidney disease. He may be near death and quite willing to die fighting - to go out in a blaze of glory - rather than waste away in a hospital bed. If I were forced to bet, I would wager that bin Laden is a disbursement officer. He may be the best known and most admired disbursement officer, but I doubt he is more than that, and I am sure there are hundreds of other disbursement officers who could easily take his place. Some of bin Laden's enemies and admirers attribute almost supernatural powers to him, but I have never seen any evidence that would contradict this disbursement officer role. Again, think of a loan officer at a bank. Bin Laden has met a lot of people and may know some of their real names and whereabouts, and he can write checks, but he is not and never has been any kind of mastermind, because there is no mastermind. If killing bin Laden will end the enemy's war effort, why didn't the death of financier J.P. Morgan in 1913 end the US economy? The fact is that the death of Morgan had no noticeable effect on the economy. A New Form of Warfare In the October 1996 Early Warning Report I explained that the intelligence of an organization is a different thing entirely than the intelligence of its members. A group of geniuses who are poorly organized will produce little of value, while a group of ordinary people brilliantly organized can produce miracles. It is organized not by commands from a central authority but by contracts between individuals. In adopting a market type of organization rather than a conventional military or government hierarchy, the Islamic groups fighting Washington have advanced warfare to a whole new level. This is like what happened in World War II. In 1940, the French felt safe behind their Maginot Line. German generals combined tanks and aircraft in a "blitzkrieg" (lightning war) that simply bypassed the Maginot Line. In my opinion, this market style warfare used by Islamic groups is tantamount to the invention of the blitzkrieg, and not for one minute do I believe that bin Laden was the originator. I believe this style of organization has been under development for at least a century, and the original mastermind or masterminds, if there ever were any, were probably all dead of old age by 1970. Like any other market economy, the whole thing runs without any central direction at all. It is organized not by commands from a central authority but by contracts between individuals. Bin Laden's probable role in the September 11th attack reminds me of Lee Harvey Oswald in the JFK assassination, and Timothy McVeigh in the Oklahoma City bombing. Was he involved in some way? Yes. Was he the mastermind? Highly unlikely because, in the case of September 11th, there was no mastermind. This war is the Maginot Line vs. the blitzkrieg, and I cannot see any reason to believe it will end during our lifetimes.
Poster Comment: This is from December, 2001. I am not a Truther (sic) and I tell all of them the same thing: I will give them 10,000 years to make their case, and they will never do it, because you cannot prove something that did not happen. Richard Maybury is one of the few people I listen to. He predicted that Osama bin Laden et al would attack the U.S., and it happened just as he predicted. The problem with the Truthers, as it is with all conspiracist nutters, is their limited mentalities. They can only see a auditorium full of thousands of brilliant, evil, completely competent people plotting a conspiracy from the top down. It never occurs to them it could happen in a decentralized fashion, just as the free market works, with just average people.
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#3. To: Turtle, indietx, rotara (#0)
I have ignored you up till now but this proves once and for all you're stupid. and while i'm at it ill plead for you to stop the endless bullshit vanity posts. this isn't grammar school.
#4. To: Artisan (#3)
here, here
Top • Page Up • Full Thread • Page Down • Bottom/LatestThe problem with the Truthers, as it is with all conspiracist nutters, is their limited mentalities
Replies to Comment # 3.
#5. To: Artisan (#3)
I have ignored you up till now but this proves once and for all you're stupid. and while i'm at it ill plead for you to stop the endless bullshit vanity posts. this isn't grammar school.
End Trace Mode for Comment # 3.