If an election were held today, the governing left-wing Labour Party would lose its majority and nearly 200 seats in parliament in large part due to Nigel Farage’s Reform UK, an analysis has found.

Despite sweeping to a landslide victory less than six months ago, analysis conducted by the More in Common think tank has found that support for Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer’s Labour Party has dwindled to such an extent that it would lose at least 183 seats in the House of Commons and therefore lose its majority in the parliament.

The so-called “mega-poll” conducted on behalf of London’s Sunday Times further predicted that seven current cabinet ministers would be ousted from their seats, six of whom would fall to candidates from Nigel Farage’s Reform party.

According to the analysis, Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner, Home Secretary Yvette Cooper, Defence Secretary John Healey, Energy Secretary Ed Miliband, Education Secretary Bridget Phillipson, and Business Secretary Jonathan Reynolds would all lose to Reform challengers. Meanwhile Health Secretary Wes Streeting is also predicted to lose to an independent, having just narrowly won out in July over a pro-Gaza candidate.

Poster Comment:

Reform needs to take over the Tory party at the local level. And then run a combined Reform-Tory single ticket. Instead of 72 seats, he should get a majority in a 2 party race.