Pollster: Let's Face It, Trump's Path to Victory Is Narrow, But Real

by Guy Benson | @guypbenson | Posted: Oct 30, 2020 10:05 AM

Pollster: Let's Face It, Trump's Path to Victory Is Narrow, But Real Source: AP Photo/Alex Brandon

Over the past week, we've given Trump fans a few rays of hope by covering polling data and methodologies from Trafalgar and USC that suggest another upset win could be in the offing. Biden remains the obvious frontrunner down the home stretch, having an overwhelming chance of winning the "popular vote," which translates into multiple paths to an electoral college majority (more on that below). But pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson, a skeptic of the president's re-election odds, posted a Twitter thread yesterday explaining that this election's range of genuine possibilities is quite wide. The bad news for Team MAGA is that Biden is ahead, and could end up dominating. The better news, she writes, is that even if some results fall within current polling margins of error in battlegrounds, the president has a slim but realistic avenue to victory:

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