There’s an election in Virginia today.

Terry McAuliffe, a Democrat and former governor of the state is losing in the polls by a significant margin to Republican newcomer Glenn Youngkin.

I haven’t written about it much, because I don’t really care about elections.

But the outcome will be worth analyzing. Basically, if Youngkin loses, it is definitely fraud. They are using the same laws from last year with the mail-in voting, and it’s a Democrat controlled state, so if there is a will to commit mass fraud, they can easily do it. There is zero to stop them, and they already know the Republicans will do nothing about it.

So why not do it? There are obvious reasons not to.

Let’s try to think like a Democrat strategist.

Here are the two options and their potential strategic benefit and risk to the Democrat Party:

Fraud:

Benefit: The Republican voter will be demoralized
Risk: Republican voters will begin to give up on politics completely, and might start to consider other options

Allowing Republican to win fairly:

Benefit: Republicans will be engaged with the system, which will largely cause them to waste their time
Risk: Republicans will be energized, meaning it will be harder to do fraud in the 2022 election; Democrats may also be demoralized (but the hard edge will just become more outraged and fanatical, and the hard edge is leading the party, so maybe demoralization doesn’t matter)

Remember: fraud is not a panacea – at least not yet. These elections are still controlled by the states. So in red states, where governments are pushing back hard against fraud, the margins are going to be closer. Furthermore, if you get the kind of turnout you had in 2020 (at least relative Republican to Democrat), they’re going to have a pretty hard time holding the House, if not also the Senate.

That said, the GOP is getting worse by the day, and really is completely useless. Even if you have a handful of Congressmen and a couple of Senators who are willing to fight, on the whole, the GOP at worst will not do anything, and at best, you’ll have enough Republican traitors to push the Biden agenda through. Furthermore, Biden still has a year to push through some social crap. The GOP will definitely support him on virus hoaxes and on the anti-China, anti-Russia agenda. Moreover, the worst Biden policies so far are executive orders. There is no chance a Republican Congress would move to stop Biden’s ability to govern by fiat.

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