Hezbollah vs. IDF -- What Happened Last Time?

Source: https://www.lewrockwell.com/2023/11/l-reichard-white/hezbollah-vs-idf-what-happened-last-time/
Published: Nov 4, 2023
Author: L. Reichard White
Post Date: 2023-11-04 10:32:11 by Ada
Views: 1576

It looks like the parable of David and Goliath is about to re-emerged on the world stage. Ironically, the previous battle cast the Israeli State as the heavy. The “David” of the piece was decentralized “4GW” (4th Generation Warfare) as deployed by an estimated 3,000 Hezbollah fighters.

The outcome of that battle was a serious blow to central governments everywhere. If one of the most effective government militaries in the world couldn’t deal with 3,000 militiamen, what good is it? The inevitable outcome of the ill conceived U.S. Government actions in Iraq and Afghanistan delivered two much more lethal blows to Goliath.

The uncivilized, barbaric ferocity of the actions against Fallujah — and against ISIS in Mosul and Syria — demonstrate the consternation and fear hierarchical organizations experience when confronting non-hierarchical opposition they’re unable to understand – – –

“The central secret to Hezbollah’s success is that it trained its (global) guerrillas to make decisions autonomously (classic 4GW), at the small group level. In every area — from firing rockets to defending prepared positions to media routing around jamming/disruption — we have examples of Hezbollah teams deciding, adapting, innovating, and collaborating without reference to any central authority. The result of this decentralization is that Hezbollah’s aggregate decision cycles are faster and qualitatively better than those of their Israeli counterparts.” Global Guerrillas, Sunday, July 30, 2006 THE SECRETS OF HEZBOLLAH’S SUCCESS, Organizational Improvements

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#1: Horse    To: Esso, StraitGate, Ada, Lod, TommyTheMadArtist, Pinguinite, Dakmar, titorite, AllTheKings'HorsesWontDoIt, FormerLurker (#0)

The IDF is well below past standards. Hezbollah has 10 times as many fighters as in 2006. They have extensive tunnels. They will have Wagner mercenaries operating their newly donated air defenses. They will be augmented by Iranian militias and suicide drones. Like Hamas they will have FPV drones. They can send one hundred 20 man squads armed with FPV drones and anti-tank missiles to capture Israeli hostages. Meanwhile, Iranian militias will be attacking the Golan Heights from Syria and also attacking US military bases in Iraq and Syria.

The Russians might defend Lebanon with their S-400 AD and their R 37 M air to air missiles which has been improved and wrought hell on Ukrainian jets.

I would expect US carrier based jets to come in two waves of 30 jets. The Russians will likely shoot down 30 of 30 US jets forcing the second group of 30 jets to return.

Putin will be nice and not use air launched Kinzhal missiles to sink the carriers.

Israel from Haifa north will be destroyed by Hezbollah missiles and the Israeli economy ruined both from the destruction and the call up of all those men who do the work to make the economy run.

Horse posted on 2023-11-04 19:31:34   Reply   Private Reply

#2: BTP Holdings    To: Horse (#1)

the Israeli economy ruined

We might not see Sabra Hummus on the store shelves in the U.S. ;)

BTP Holdings posted on 2023-11-04 21:03:30   Reply   Private Reply

#3: Pinguinite    To: Horse (#1)

Russia will not fire on US jets unless Russian planes are attacked. That's a given as it would trigger a serious international incident. At most, Hezbollah or Syrian proxies, or "Iran backed" militias may do so, but US aircraft won't come in range of their weapons and won't need to. Our planes are too expensive to risk in actual combat anyway.

Pinguinite posted on 2023-11-05 02:02:03   Reply   Private Reply

#4: Horse    To: Pinguinite (#3)

No risk to Russia by using their S-400 and their R 37 M air to air missiles to shoot down 30 of 30 jets. The US will attack Lebanon when Hezbollah enters the fight.

The bonus for Putin is that the US stock and bond markets will crash disabling us.

Horse posted on 2023-11-05 07:20:26   Reply   Private Reply

#5: BTP Holdings    To: Horse (#1)

Syria

A few years ago I got email from this woman on a joint US/UN operation. She sent me a picture of her holding a Bull Pup rifle.

She told me her team uncovered a horde of U.S. Dollars and her share was $2 Million. She needed help to get it out of the country.

I smelled a scam coming on so I deleted the message.

For those that might not be familiar with how much space $1 Million takes up,, it is a three foot cube. ;)

I sme

BTP Holdings posted on 2023-11-05 18:20:08   Reply   Private Reply

#6: BTP Holdings    To: Horse (#4)

US will attack Lebanon

I guess we will be a stand in for Ariel "the butcher" Sharon. ;)

BTP Holdings posted on 2023-11-05 18:23:37   Reply   Private Reply

#7: Horse    To: BTP Holdings (#6)

This will be an air operation only, as Israel cannot afford to let Hezbollah destroy everything from Haifa to the northern border. I think it will fail.

Horse posted on 2023-11-05 19:27:51   Reply   Private Reply

#8: Lod    To: Horse (#7)

Had I $$$ to lose betting, I'd put it all on the line for the Jews to destroy the muzzies.

Lod posted on 2023-11-05 20:28:59   Reply   Private Reply

#9: Horse    To: Lod (#8)

Not likely, as the Muslim world is united against Israel, including Turkey and Pakistan. There are 1.9 billion Muslims.

Horse posted on 2023-11-05 20:59:44   Reply   Private Reply

#10: Original_Intent    To: BTP Holdings (#2)

I have not knowingly bought any Sabra products for at least 2 years. Their operation is on stolen land.

Original_Intent posted on 2023-11-05 23:25:19   Reply   Private Reply

#11: BTP Holdings    To: Original_Intent (#10)

on stolen land

Israhell is another artificial construct which was sanctioned by Lord Arther Balfour and his Balfour Declaration of 1917.

That Declaration was presented to the Zionist Organization of Great Britain and Ireland.

So you see that Arafat was right about all the problems in Palestine being caused by Zionists.

Israhell was founded on terror when the Irgun bombed the King David Hotel in Jerusalem in 1946 killing many British Officers. The British were using that hotel as their headquarters. ;)

BTP Holdings posted on 2023-11-06 07:11:30   Reply   Private Reply