Israeli intelligence officials estimate that the United States could sustain only “four to five days” of military strikes against Iran if it were to launch acts of aggression against the Islamic Republic, a new report reveals.
The Financial Times on Tuesday carried a report citing an Israeli official who said the United States could carry out an intensive air campaign against Iran lasting “only four to five days,” or about a week of “lower-intensity strikes.”
Citing intelligence sources, the daily added that even with the deployment of the aircraft carrier USS Gerald R. Ford and its strike group to the region, Washington’s capacity for a prolonged offensive against Iran would remain limited.
It said Israeli intelligence officials also warned that any such conflict could result in American casualties with significant domestic political consequences for the administration of US President Donald Trump.
The report comes as the Trump administration steps up its military build-up in West Asia, with the US president renewing threats against Iran and warning of a “very bad day” if no agreement is reached in the ongoing nuclear talks with Tehran.
https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2026/02/24/764651/Israeli-intelligence-warns-US-strike-capacity-against-Iran-limited-to-days-American-casualties-
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A war game exercise carried out by Kenneth Payne at King’s College London, using three teams running simulations on Chat GPT-5.2, Claude Sonnet 4, and Gemini 3 Flash.
The teams "played 21 war games against each other over 329 turns," according to Implicator.AI's Marcus Schuler.
"They wrote roughly 780,000 words explaining why they did what they did," he noted.
No model ever chose to surrender, NewScientist reported on Tuesday.
In fact, 95% of the time, the models chose to use nuclear weapons.
The findings come at an opportune moment. The Pentagon just inked a deal with Elon Musk's xAI to allow Grok into highly classified systems. And Anthropic's Claude is currently engaged in a serious dispute with the Pentagon over government access to the entire model. Anthropic is worried the Pentagon will use Claude for mass surveillance.
Unlike some competitors, xAI reportedly agreed to the Pentagon's requirement that the AI be available for "all lawful military applications" without additional corporate restrictions. Secretary of War Pete Hegseth is pushing for "non-woke" AI that operates without ideological constraints. Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei now has until Friday before Hegseth lowers the boom on the company, cancels its $200 million in military contracts, and labels it a "supply chain risk."
I want AI companies and the government to err on the side of caution. This pressure on Anthropic isn't doing anyone any good and doesn't bode well for the future.
The war games were made as realistic as possible with an "escalation ladder" that allowed the team to choose actions "ranging from diplomatic protests and complete surrender to full strategic nuclear war," according to NewScientist.
What’s more, no model ever chose to fully accommodate an opponent or surrender, regardless of how badly they were losing. At best, the models opted to temporarily reduce their level of violence. They also made mistakes in the fog of war: accidents happened in 86 per cent of the conflicts, with an action escalating higher than the AI intended to, based on its reasoning.
“From a nuclear-risk perspective, the findings are unsettling,” says James Johnson at the University of Aberdeen, UK. He worries that, in contrast to the measured response by most humans to such a high-stakes decision, AI bots can amp up each others’ responses with potentially catastrophic consequences.
This matters because AI is already being tested in war gaming by countries across the world. “Major powers are already using AI in war gaming, but it remains uncertain to what extent they are incorporating AI decision support into actual military decision-making processes,” says Tong Zhao at Princeton University.
https://www.zerohedge.com/ai/simulated-war-games-top-ai-models-recommended-using-nukes-95-time
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Greens Want UK Taxpayers to Fund Unlimited Immigration!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U-o54ci-Qqw
#1: Horse To: Horse (#0)
Horse posted on 2026-02-26 09:19:10 Reply Private Reply